If you’re not ready to say goodbye to summer, you might be in luck! The Climate Prediction Center recently announced that warmer-than-average temperatures are expected across most of the United States from October to December. Forecasters predict that 46 out of 50 states will experience a warmer fall, with many areas feeling like summer is extending. AccuWeather’s Paul Pastelok stated, “This fall will feel more like a prolonged summer for millions, following an extremely hot summer.”
Regions likely to see above-average temperatures include eastern New England, southern Florida, and much of the Southwest, especially areas like Phoenix, which just experienced a record 113 consecutive days over 100 degrees.
Overall, 46 states, including parts of Alaska and Hawaii, will likely be warmer than usual this fall. The only states that might not see above-average temperatures are Washington, North Dakota, Minnesota, and Wisconsin, where temperatures could be both above and below average.
Rain and Snow Forecast
In terms of precipitation, the Northeast, Great Lakes, and Northwest can expect a wetter fall, although it’s unclear whether this will be rain or snow. Conversely, the Southwest and southern Plains are predicted to have a drier-than-average autumn, which may worsen drought conditions in those areas.
La Niña on the Horizon
Forecasters also anticipate the formation of La Niña later this fall. This climate pattern, which is characterized by cooler seawater in the tropical Pacific Ocean, significantly influences U.S. weather, especially in late fall, winter, and early spring. La Niña typically brings dry and warm conditions to the southern U.S. while the north tends to be wetter.
The Climate Prediction Center indicates there’s a 71% chance of La Niña developing during September through November, and it’s expected to last until January-March 2025. However, a strong event is unlikely, with “neutral” conditions predicted for the spring.
